Effects of Climate Change Anomalies on Plantain Production in Akinyele Local  Government Area of Oyo State, Nigeria

K.O. Ogunjinmi; O. A. Adeyeye; O.E. Dada; K.G. Adeosun; M. Umunna; D.H. Olaniyi; A.A. Ogunjinmi; E.O. Fakoya

Authors

Ogunjinmi, K.O. Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.
Adeyeye, O. A. Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.
Dada, O.E., Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.
Adeosun, K.G. Department of Communication and General Studies, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.
Umunna, M. Federal College of Forest Resources Management, Ishiaga Ebonyi State, Forest Research Institute Nigeria.
Olaniyi, D.H. Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.
Ogunjinmi, A.A. Department of Wildlife and Ecotourism Management, Federal University of Technology Akure, Ondo State.
Fakoya, E.O. Department of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development, Federal University of Agriculture Abeokuta, Ogun State.

Keywords:

Agriculture, Anomalies, Climate change, Plantain production

Abstract

Plantains have a propensity to retain water, but their production is significantly
impacted by climate change. This study examined the effects of climate change
anomalies on plantain production in Akinyele Local Government Area of Oyo
State, Nigeria. Using a questionnaire survey, a two-stage sampling procedure was
used to collect data from 120 plantain farmers. The data were then analysed and
presented using frequency, Pearson Product Moment Correlation (PPMC), while
multiple linear regression was employed to predict the determinants of farmers’
observation of climatic indicators and perception of climate change. The results of
the study show that during the previous five years (2019-2023), the respondents
experienced a temperature rise (x̄=1.79), prolonged drought (x̄=1.46) and
decreasing rainfall (x̄=1.24). As a result, most respondents (84.1%) indicated that
the climate was changing. Furthermore, decreased yield (x̄=2.68), drooping/wilting
(x̄=2.45) and lodging and bending (x̄=2.40) were the primary effects of climate
change on plantain production. Furthermore, planting of heat-resistant and early
maturing varieties and, mixed cropping were the common adaptation measures
consistently used by the respondents. Statistically, a significant relationship was
discovered between average annual income (r = -0.325, p = 0.001) and farm size (r
= 0.213, p = 0.021) and the possibility of perceiving the consequences of climate
change. The strongest predictors of farmers' perception and observation of climate
change indicators were education (t=-1.968, p<0.05) and membership of farmers'
associations (t=-2.647, p<0.05), respectively. The investigation concluded that
climate change has a major effect on plantain production in the study area. The
study suggested that the use of irrigation to guarantee sustainable plantain
production.